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April 26, 2024

Chart EUR/AUD Update: Poised for retest of 1.6365/1.6350 lows
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April 26, 2024 6:53 AM UTC

Consolidation above the 1.6400 level has given way to break lower to extend losses from the 1.6680 resistance

JPY flows: New JPY lows after BoJ meeting
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April 26, 2024 6:52 AM UTC

There was no indication of further imminent tightening from the BoJ, and this led to new JPY lows. But US yields continue to be the main driver of JPY weakness, and overnight JPY decline may consequently be overdone

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Poised for retest of 195.85, 2015 year high
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April 26, 2024 6:32 AM UTC

Further extend the underlying bull trend from the 2020 year low following bullish breakout from the 193.55, March high

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Within reach of the 102.85, 2014 year high
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April 26, 2024 6:24 AM UTC

Sharply higher to extend bullish break of the 9 April high at 100.80 to reach the 102.00 level

Chart USD/TWD Update: Consolidating below 32.690 high, scope for deeper pullback
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April 26, 2024 6:03 AM UTC

Settling back in consolidation from the 32.690 high as prices unwind overbought intraday studies

Chart USD/INR Update: Consolidating, scope for deeper pullback later
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April 26, 2024 5:14 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the 83.2740 support and bounce from the 83.2650 see prices consolidating pullback from the 83.5750

Asia Summary and Highlights 26 Apr
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April 26, 2024 4:16 AM UTC

Overview - The USD ended slightly weaker, as gains on stronger than expected Q1 core PCE price data were erased. 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, April 26th
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April 26, 2024 4:15 AM UTC

JPY weaken as BoJ indicates no rush to tighten…
…potentially triggering FX intervention
EUR/USD well supported but could suffer if Eurozone money data is weak
SEK has scope to recover after Thursday dip following strong Swedish data

AUD/USD flows: Up a tad along positive sentiment
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April 26, 2024 4:12 AM UTC

Australia Q1 PPI +4.3% y/y vs +4.1% prior

Chart USD/CNH Update: Lower in consolidation from 7.2740 high
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April 26, 2024 4:08 AM UTC

Remains supported on pullback from the 7.2740 high and break of the 7.2500 level needed to expose the 7.2415 low to retest

USD/JPY flows:No change in rates but revised CPI higher
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April 26, 2024 4:02 AM UTC

The BoJ decided to keep rate at 0-0.1%. 
2024 ex fresh food CPI is revised to 2.8% from 2.4%, 2025 from 1.8% to 1.9%
Tokyo CPI lower 

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Higher in consolidation above 16100 support
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April 26, 2024 2:58 AM UTC

Extending bounce from the 16139 low as prices consolidate losses from the 16284 high

Chart USD/THB Update: Within reach of the 37.24, 2023 year high
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April 26, 2024 2:47 AM UTC

Break above 37.10 high has seen gains to reach fresh high at 37.18

Chart USD/KRW Update: Scope to extend pullback from the 1400.00 high
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April 26, 2024 2:33 AM UTC

 Little change, as prices remains in consolidation at the 1371.00/1370.00 support and congestion area

Chart USD/SGD Update: Under pressure, room to extend losses from 1.3670 high
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April 26, 2024 2:15 AM UTC

Close below the 1.3600 level see room for deeper pullback from the 1.3670 high as prices unwind the overbought intraday and daily studies

Chart GBP/USD Update: Extending corrective gains
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April 26, 2024 2:03 AM UTC

Extending sharp gains from the 1.2300 low to reach resistance at the 1.2500/18 area

Chart EUR/USD Update: Still room to extend gains, but likely limited
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April 26, 2024 1:48 AM UTC

Consolidation at the 1.0695/1.0700 resistance has given way to break to reach 1.0740 high

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending gains, but stretched
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April 26, 2024 1:24 AM UTC

Break above the 166.00 level has seen further extension to reach fresh year high at 167.09

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating just below 155.80, June 1990 high
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April 26, 2024 1:05 AM UTC

Further extend break of the 155.00 level to approach the 155.80, June 1990 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Still room to extend corrective gains
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April 26, 2024 12:37 AM UTC

  Pressure remains on the upside to reach the .5965 and clearance here will see room to further extend gains from the .5860 low

Chart AUD/USD Update: Pressuring the .6525 resistance, still room to extend gains
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April 26, 2024 12:25 AM UTC

Still limited on probes above the .6525 resistance but bullish momentum from the .6362 low suggest scope for break

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
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April 26, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform mostly individually against the USD as the greenback fell in the New York session on weaker than expected GDP data and further rebound as session progress. PHP saw the largest losses of 0.42%, followed by KRW 0.39%, IDR 0.21%, TWD 0.16% and INR 0.01%; while the big

April 25, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, April 26th
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April 25, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

JPY may weaken if BoJ indicates no rush to tighten…
…potentially triggering FX intervention
EUR/USD well supported but could suffer if Eurozone money data is weak
SEK has scope to recover after Thursday dip following strong Swedish data

North American Summary and Highlights 25 Apr
Freemium Article

April 25, 2024 7:48 PM UTC

Overview - The USD ended slightly weaker, as gains on stronger than expected Q1 core PCE price data were erased. 

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FOMC Preview For May 1: Signaling Concern on Inflation, Tapering Quantitative Tightening
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April 25, 2024 7:04 PM UTC

Bottom Line: The FOMC meets on May 1 and rates look sure to remain at the current 5.25%-5.50% target range. The statement is likely to see some adjustments to reflect recent disappointment on inflation while repeating that more confidence on inflation moving towards target is needed before easing. I

Chart USD/CAD Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Freemium Article

April 25, 2024 3:49 PM UTC

Little change, as prices settle into choppy trade just below congestion resistance at 1.3700

Preview: Due April 26 - U.S. March Personal Income and Spending - Upside risk in Core PCE prices given Q1 outcome
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April 25, 2024 3:41 PM UTC

March personal income and spending data will be largely old news as we have already seen Q1 totals in the GDP report. The GDP details are consistent with gains of 0.6% in personal income, 0.8% in personal spending and 0.4% in core PCE prices, all 0.1% above our pre-GDP forecasts of 0.5%, 0.7% and 0.

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CBRT Kept Key Rate Unchanged at 50%
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April 25, 2024 3:25 PM UTC

Bottom Line: As predictions were centred around no change, Central Bank of Turkiye (CBRT) kept the policy rate stable at 50% on April 25 despite galloping inflation, and pressure on FX lately. According to the CBRT statement, monetary policy stance will be tightened in case a significant and persist

U.S. March Pending Home Sales bounce follows sharp February rise in Existing Home Sales
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April 25, 2024 2:14 PM UTC

March has seen a stronger than expected 3.4% increase in pending home sales. Normally pending home sales lead existing home sales but in this case we appear to be seeing a catch up with strength in February existing home sales.

Chart AUD/USD Update: Choppy in range
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April 25, 2024 2:06 PM UTC

The anticipated retest above congestion resistance at 0.6500 has met selling interest beneath 0.6560

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Balanced at 2008 levels - daily studies trading higher
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April 25, 2024 1:54 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached the 166.85 low of 5 August 2008

Chart USD/JPY Update: Balanced beneath the 155.80 high of June 1990
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April 25, 2024 1:30 PM UTC

The anticipated test of resistance at the 155.80 high of June 1990 has all but been seen

U.S. Q1 GDP - Charts and Table
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April 25, 2024 1:22 PM UTC

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Limited scope above 106.00
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April 25, 2024 1:11 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a bounce

USD flows: USD up slightly after GDP
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April 25, 2024 12:52 PM UTC

Market focusing on higher PCE deflator and solid domestic growth so US yields and the USD modestly higher

Chart USD/RUB Update: Under pressure
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April 25, 2024 11:51 AM UTC

Consolidation is giving way to the anticipated test lower

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Leaning lower, but downside to remain limited
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April 25, 2024 11:29 AM UTC

The test above resistance at 4.3300 has not been sustained

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Sharp reversal lower - daily studies turning down
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April 25, 2024 10:52 AM UTC

Cautious trade beneath resistance at 19.2000 has given way to a sharp pullback to congestion support at 19.0000

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Gains to remain limited
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April 25, 2024 10:19 AM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a EUR-driven break higher

European Summary and Highlights 25 Apr
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April 25, 2024 10:10 AM UTC

The European morning saw general gains for the riskier currencies, with GBP and the AUD the best performers.

Psychology for major markets Apr 25
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April 25, 2024 10:05 AM UTC

EUR and riskier currencies better bid, JPY at new 34 year lows

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Norges Bank Preview: Nothing New to Note?
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April 25, 2024 9:29 AM UTC

Surprising few, the Norges Bank Board is very likely to leave its policy rate at 4.5% for a third successive meeting when it gives it next verdict on May 3.  It is also likely to retain the thinking first aired at the December meeting, namely the ‘policy to stay on hold for some time ahead’ rhe

GBP flows: GBP benefiting from risk positive tone
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April 25, 2024 9:16 AM UTC

GBP rising this morning in general risk positive market. BHP-Anglo takeover deal unlikely to be relevant

FX Daily Strategy: N America, April 25th
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April 25, 2024 8:46 AM UTC

US Q1 GDP the main focus
USD risks weighted to the downside
JPY intervention risk rising, but may wait until after Fridays BoJ meeting
SEK has scope for gains after strong economic tendency survey

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Room for still higher
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April 25, 2024 8:15 AM UTC

Little change to the bullish tone

Chart USD/CHF Update: Turning away from fresh 2024 high
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April 25, 2024 8:04 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation following the minor break above 0.9150 to a fresh 2024 high around 0.9153

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Lower in GBP-driven trade
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April 25, 2024 7:50 AM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a sharp pullback in GBP-driven trade